The man in the middle

Now, which way shall I go?

Bayrou refuses to back Royal or Sarkozy. Basically, without votes from Bayrou's supporters, Royal can say "Adieu!" to the presidency. But Bayrou seems to be doing this to try and maintain support for his own political party. In other words, he'll let his supporters vote as they please, but he maintains his independence of both Sarko and Ségo.

The next round might be interesting, although I still think it's really Sarko all the way.

Over on The Guardian's commentisfree section, there have been several entries in recent days about the election, including a number about which way people are going to vote and why. It's kind of

"Normally my wife and I are left-wing liberals, but we're voting for Sarkozy because, in truth, we like a little arse violation followed by a sound spanking."

While Sarko is probably going to win, I also wonder whether his prize is a poisoned chalice.

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